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The Cyclical Economy: The Driver of Booms & Busts
The rise and fall of construction and manufacturing determine the strength of economic cycles.
Feb 16
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EPB Research
30
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The Cyclical Economy: The Driver of Booms & Busts
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Understanding the Leading Economy: The First Step in Tracking the Business Cycle
Tracking the Leading Economy reveals early signals of economic turning points by analyzing money, credit, and forward-looking business commitments.
Feb 3
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EPB Research
35
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Understanding the Leading Economy: The First Step in Tracking the Business Cycle
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January 2025
The Sequence of the Business Cycle: Overview
An in-depth overview of the Business Cycle Sequence and the EPB Four Economy Framework.
Jan 24
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EPB Research
44
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The Sequence of the Business Cycle: Overview
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Stock Prices As A Leading Indicator? Not Anymore.
Analyzing the change in the leading nature of stock prices and outlining a better warning signal of future declines in earnings and share prices.
Jan 14
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EPB Research
31
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Stock Prices As A Leading Indicator? Not Anymore.
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December 2024
The Two Most Important Labor Market Sectors
Analyzing the two biggest sectors that drive the overall labor market.
Dec 10, 2024
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EPB Research
29
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The Two Most Important Labor Market Sectors
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The State of US Manufacturing
Analyzing the depth & duration of the contraction in US manufacturing production and employment.
Dec 3, 2024
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EPB Research
26
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The State of US Manufacturing
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October 2024
Q3 GDP & The Impact From Aircraft Equipment
Aircraft equipment investment increased at a 429% annual rate in Q3, following a 647% annualized increase in Q2, a significant driver of overall GDP…
Oct 30, 2024
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EPB Research
22
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Q3 GDP & The Impact From Aircraft Equipment
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Residential Construction Backlogs - How Much Longer?
Measuring the existing backlogs in the residential construction sector and analyzing the future impact on employment within this critical industry.
Oct 8, 2024
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EPB Research
36
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Residential Construction Backlogs - How Much Longer?
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September 2024
Let's Talk Layoffs & Jobless Claims
A historical analysis of jobless claims as a leading indicator of recessionary periods.
Sep 22, 2024
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EPB Research
26
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Let's Talk Layoffs & Jobless Claims
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How Far Behind The Curve Is The Federal Reserve?
Plotting the change in Federal Reserve interest rate policy before and after a trigger of the Sahm Rule.
Sep 9, 2024
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EPB Research
14
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How Far Behind The Curve Is The Federal Reserve?
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The True Pace of Job Creation (Chart of the Week)
Our featured charts from the EPB Weekly Economic Briefing / Week 36
Sep 7, 2024
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EPB Research
14
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The True Pace of Job Creation (Chart of the Week)
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August 2024
A Coincident Indicator of the Labor Market
Rather than a single-factor analysis of the labor market, the EPB Coincident Employment Index provides a more robust and objective reading on the…
Aug 30, 2024
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EPB Research
16
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A Coincident Indicator of the Labor Market
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